Lemma 18.41.5.44E50E6CAEB1 There is a constant $C_\alpha >0$ such that, for $T\geq 1$,
Lemma 18.41.544E50E6CAEB1
Proof. Recall that $\mathbb E N_ T=T$ and $\operatorname {Var}(N_ T)=T$. Stirling's formula, applied to the ratio of Gamma functions, gives
The second bound follows from the first after the constant is increased to account for finitely many small integers. Since $0\leq 1-\alpha <1$, it implies
For $T\geq 2$, consider the event $E_ T=\{ |N_ T-T|\leq T/2\} $. On this event, the expansion of the Gamma ratio and the bounded derivative of $s\mapsto s^{1-\alpha }$ on $[1/2,3/2]$ give
By the Cauchy–Schwarz inequality, its expectation is at most $C_\alpha T^{-1/2}$. On the complement, Chebyshev's inequality gives $\mathbb P(E_ T^ c)\leq 4/T$, and the preceding second-moment bound together with the Cauchy–Schwarz inequality gives the same estimate for the contribution of $E_ T^ c$. Enlarging the constant handles $1\leq T\leq 2$. $\square$
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